Defourny, Pierre (1); Bontemps, Sophie (1); Boettcher, Martin (2); Brockmann, Carsten (2); De Maet, Thomas (1); Kirches, Grit (2); Lamarche, Céline (1); Van Bogaert, Eric (1); Ramoino, Fabrizio (3); Arino, Olivier (3) 1: UCLouvain-Geomatics, Belgium; 2: Brockmann-Consult GmbH, Germany; 3: ESA-ESRIN, Italy
At the end of 2015, Sentinel-3 will be launched. With its two instruments OLCI (Ocean Land Colour Instrument) and SLSTR (Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer), the successor of the Envisat MERIS sensor will allow ensuring the continuity of global land cover maps production initiated in the CCI Land Cover (CCI-LC) project.
Started in 2011 in the framework of the ESA Climate Change Initiative (CCI), this project aims at delivering global land cover products that match the needs of key users from the climate modelling community. Land cover is one of the Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) listed by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). It refers to one of the most obvious and commonly used indicators for land surface parameterization and is much associated to the human activities and natural processes, while also playing a significant role in climate forcing.
At the beginning of the project, an analysis of the specific needs of this community revealed the priority for stable and consistent land cover products over time. It was indeed not the case with existing products, such as the GlobCover or MODIS ones, where significant year-to-year variations are observed which are not due to land cover changes but rather to classifications instabilities.
To meet this requirement, the land cover concept was revisited to decouple the stable and dynamic component of the land cover. It was proposed to map the stable component of the land cover using a multi-year classification strategy and then, to provide separate additional information about the land surface natural variability. It was indeed found that classification instabilities are located in areas known to be either heterogeneous and/or showing contrasted seasonal cycles. Using a multiyear Earth Observation dataset can contributed to reducing the classification sensitivity to the period of observation and then, to better extracting the stable land cover component.
In October 2014, the project delivered a set of three consistent global land cover products corresponding to the 1998-2002, 2003-2007 and 2008-2012 periods, along with climatological 7-day time series representing seasonal dynamics of the land surface (in terms of vegetation greenness, burned area and snow).
The 3 maps were obtained by processing, as main input, the full archive (2003-2012) of MERIS full resolution (300m) instrument. MERIS reduced resolution and SPOT-Vegetation time series were also used as complementary dataset. This huge amount of data was processed to generate a single map over the 2003-2012 period. This unique map was used as a baseline to derive the 3 output products: it was back- and up-dated at the location and time major land cover changes were detected. The accuracy of the 2008-2012 global LC map was assessed using the GlobCover 2009 validation dataset, resulting in a weighted-area overall accuracy of 74.1% which is slightly better than previous products. In addition, visual analysis revealed a much better delineation of landscape patterns.
Since the Envisat mission suddenly stopped in 2012, the intention is to make the coming Sentinel-3 the new key sensor of the whole CCI-LC system. In the medium term, Sentinel-3 is indeed the only sensor that can ensure continuity in the global acquisition of medium spatial resolution time series on daily intervals. Launched in May 2013, PROBA-V, which is the SPOT-Vegetation successor, is currently making the job and will also be used at its maximum potential in the project. Yet, even if the mission is up-to-now successful, its official operational lifetime is set to only 2.5 years.
Concretely, waiting for Sentinel-3, the project will rely on PROBA-V time series. Consistency with previous product will be possible through an optimal exploitation of the 1-year overlap between SPOT-Vegetation and PROBA-V. Then, the project will integrate Sentinel-3 time series in higher and higher quantity as soon as they are available. Looking for synergies between the two sensors will be a key target.
An important contribution for the consistency of the Sentinel-3 time series across the other sensors is a consistency of the surface reflectance values as well as best possible determination of the magnitude of their uncertainties calculated through the sensor-specific pre-processing chain. Conversely, several aspects make this consistency objective more challenging. First, the fact that different band settings used for each sensor considered here has an effect on the used pre-processing modules on one hand and on the accuracy of the surface reflectance values on the other hand. Second, some information critical for the pre-processing cannot be retrieved with an acceptable accuracy - or worse, cannot be calculated from the image information itself - and therefore comes from external sources. Furthermore, the harmonization of all auxiliary data (like DEM, land water mask, atmospheric data) has a significant impact on the consistency of the time series. Finally, the geometric accuracy of the different sensors has to be investigated with the aim of knowing more about the inter-sensor compatibility.
Addressing all these challenges, the CCI-LC project should be able to deliver in 2016-2017 new global LC maps at 300m spatial resolution to cover the period after 2012 and provide the climate modelling community with around 15 years of consistent land cover mapping.