Sharov, Aleksey (1); Nikolskiy, Dmitry (2); Troshko, Ksenia (3); Zaprudnova, Zinaida (3) 1: DIGITAL - Institute of Information and Communication Technologies, Joanneum Research, Graz, Austria; 2: SOVZOND Company, Moscow, Russian Federation; 3: Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russian Federation
Matusevich Ice Shelf (MIS), 241 km² in size (1953), the largest floating glacier in the Old World split up into three unequal parts and lost three fifth of its area in late summer 2012. The ice shelf collapse continued in 2013-2014 and exited debates about the emergence of new icebergs threatening the exploration, extraction and transportation of hydrocarbons in the Kara and Barents seas. We located and dated main MIS calving events using optical and radar image time series from LANDSAT, QuickBird, WorldView and Sentinel satellites. Matusevich event icebergs were mostly observed in 2012 with surprisingly few large icebergs found in 2013-2014.
The first MIS elevation model applicable to the computer analysis of ice shelf characteristics and volume changes was generated from the TanDEM-X SAR interferometry data of 05.05.2011 available from the DLR project ID.XTI_GLAC0249 and validated using the concurrent CryoSat-2 interferometric radar and ICESat lidar altimetry data collected within the framework of the MAIRES FP7 research project. The comparison with the cartographic DEM derived from Russian topographic maps 1:100 000 showed that the TDX elevation model is superior in depicting ice surface undulations and compact glaciological features, such as ice fronts, walls, crevasses etc., yet without compromising on positional accuracy. In this model, we detected six elevated and crevassed ice shelf areas alternating with lower areas of thin even ice, apparently of marine origin. MIS top heights of up to 32 m asl are typically observed in front of tributary glaciers that feed into the ice shelf, while extensive areas of thinner ice with medial heights of several meters are to be found along ice-free coasts. This observation sheds some light on spatiotemporal variations of the MIS iceberg production capacity.
The TDX elevation model was further applied to differential interferometric processing of tide-coordinated ERS-1/2 InSAR data of 23/24.09.1995 and Sentinel-1 EW SAR-C data of 9/21.10.2014. The resultant “retrospective” and “prospective” (DIn)SAR models were used for measuring ice flow velocities of tributaries and their inter-annual changes, mapping elevation changes on parent ice caps, reconstructing pre- and post-event ice shelf deformations, estimating surficial strain rates, and detecting the ice shelf grounding line. The boundary between the ice shelf and 7 tributaries was drawn along the intermediate grounding line derived from tide-corrected differential interferograms. A dozen new islands underpinning the ice shelf were first discovered in the InSAR products and, afterwards, verified in high-resolution optical images. We revealed that two out of seven tributaries increased flow speeds by nearly 200 % over the past 20 years, which could not be related directly to the breakup event, however. Besides, we recognized that high strain rate values might reliably indicate areas of further MIS retreat and determined that the present MIS disintegration began no later than mid-August 2011 when the first large portion of the “stressed” south-eastern margin manifested in the strain-rate image product was lost.
Intermediate interferometric models, radar and optical imagery were geocoded and orthorectified using the same TDX DEM and served as basic layers for the output map series and animations of the MIS disintegration in 1931-2014 at 1:100,000 scale (UTM 46N, WGS84), which were included into the “Online atlas of glacier fluctuations” accessible at http://dib.joanneum.at/MAIRES/index.php?page=atlas. Topographic contour lines with 5 m contour interval on the ice shelf surface were generated and ice shelf areas with thin ice were delineated in semi-automatic mode. The MIS present total area was measured as 85 km² (IX, 2014) and the remaining ice shelf volume was given as 7.0 km³, which is twice as small as it was after the previous breakup in 1984-85. Field validation studies including radio-echo sounding were carried out in September 2014.
30-year long records of hydrometeorological and oceanographic data obtained from 4 coastal stations around MIS as well as ancillary oceanographic, bathymetric and gravimetric publications were involved in the analysis of main causes and consequences of the MIS breakup. It was decided that the unfavourable combination of long-term warmth, liquid precipitation and strong winds in summer as well as essentially negative mass balance of both parent ice caps, heterogeneous structure of the ice shelf and, probably, low concentrations of sea ice along the eastern coast of Severnaya Zemlya was the main driving factor for the MIS event in 2011-2014. It was supposed that, under current environmental conditions, MIS will disappear by 2020. Thanks to wide terrestrial coverage of Sentinel data, we were able to compare the rate of MIS breakup with the concurrent ice loss rates on two smaller ice shelves in Severnaya Zemlya (No.19) and Franz Josef Land (No. 8) situated 70 km to the north and 370 km to the west of MIS respectively. We conclude that the rapid collapse of Russian ice shelves is a new sign of climate change in the Eurasian High Arctic and is consistent with the observations made recently in the Canadian Arctic, where large ice shelves demonstrate similar behaviour.